Will Toncoin Recover in 2026?

!ton
Toncoin (TON) is currently trading at price levels that may influence the market’s next directional decision. Buyers and sellers are engaged in a key battle around nearby support, and reactions at these levels may help determine whether conditions allow for a potential trend reversal or whether broader weakness persists.

TON technical analysis

TON 29.1

TONUSD - 4-Hour Time Frame

TON is currently positioned at critical support levels that could be decisive for near-term structure. Price is aggressively testing the first support zone in the $1.48–$1.50 range for the second time. During the initial interaction with this area, a relatively constructive reaction from buyers emerged, with a subsequent candle closing back above the zone. Following that move, the market entered a multi-day consolidation phase, after which renewed selling pressure has now appeared.

Below the current price, the most significant support lies in the $1.45–$1.47 range. If the upper support zone fails to hold and the market produces a close below it, this lower area becomes a critical reference level for TON. This zone also contains the volume point of control of the previous range (vPOCr) at $1.47, which historically can attract increased market participation and could lead to a more pronounced reaction if price revisits this area.

TON price target

If TON is able to regain sufficient strength in the coming days, the first upside reference level would be the vPOCr at $1.53, located just above the current price. This level may act as a meaningful barrier, and any sustained movement beyond it would require a clear close above the level, followed by evidence of acceptance.

If this area were to be reclaimed and maintained as support over time, it could improve the technical outlook and open the path toward the next resistance zone in the $1.71–$1.74 range. Above that area, the vPOCr at $1.76 represents another key level to monitor, followed by additional resistance between $1.78–$1.80. The higher reference zone is located at the vPOCr around $1.87, where the prior uptrend previously lost structure and where stronger market reactions could again emerge.

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