The stablecoin market is expanding faster than expected. According to Citibank, total issuance grew from around $200 billion at the beginning of 2025 to $280 billion by September.
Citibank projects that the value of stablecoins in circulation could reach $1.9 trillion by 2030 in its baseline scenario. Under a more favorable bull case, the market could surge to $4 trillion — an upgrade from previous estimates of $1.6 trillion and $3.7 trillion.
If stablecoins circulate as quickly as fiat currencies, they could facilitate up to $100 trillion in annual transactions by 2030, potentially doubling in the bull case.
Citibank compares this development to a “ChatGPT moment” for Blockchain — the point at which the technology moves into mainstream use and becomes integral for digital-native companies.
The report highlights that stablecoins may not be the ultimate leader in on-chain finance. Bank tokens — such as tokenized deposits, where funds are held in a bank and issued digitally on the Blockchain — may prove even more powerful.
These tokens could surpass stablecoins thanks to corporate demand for regulated solutions, instant settlement, and built-in compliance. Even a partial migration of banking infrastructure to the Blockchain could push transaction volumes beyond $100 trillion by the end of the decade.
The US dollar is expected to remain dominant, as most on-chain money is dollar-denominated, reinforcing demand for US Treasuries. At the same time, new hubs such as Hong Kong and the United Arab Emirates are emerging as centers of innovation.
According to Citibank, this is not about stablecoins replacing banks. Instead, the financial system is undergoing a transformation where stablecoins, bank tokens, and CBDCs will coexist, each serving distinct roles.
Sources:
https://www.citigroup.com/global/insights/digital-dollars